A new report says Malawians will re-elect President Peter Mutharika during the 2019 elections.
The report released by United Kingdom-based Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) says Mutharika and the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) will get a narrow win ahead of main contender Lazarus Chakwera of Malawi Congress Party (MCP).
According to EIU, Mutharika’s popularity in the populous Southern Region will see him getting re-elected regardless of whether the electoral system used in the polls is the current one or the 50+1 percent system.
“Amending the electoral process so that the presidential candidates have to win an absolute majority may happen, but even if it does, we still expect Mr Mutharika, who has announced his intentions to stand for re-election, to win,” says the report.
However, MCP deputy spokesperson Ezekiel Ching’óma noted that the EIU report mentions a divided opposition and continued internal conflict in MCP as some of the conditions for a DPP victory.
According to Ching’oma, this shows that the opposition party will win the 2019 elections if the conflicts are resolved and DPP fails to end corruption as well as the economic hardships Malawians are facing.
But government spokesperson Nicholas Dausi agreed with the EIU saying the ruling party is working on its weaknesses.
EIU which is a member of The Economist Group has on many occasions made wrong predictions.
Before the 2014 elections, the think-tank tipped the then president Joyce Banda to win the elections but she lost.
The intelligence unit has also on several occasions failed to correctly predict election outcomes in Zambia while in America the EIU said Hillary Clinton would win the 2016 polls but she ended up losing.